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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0148 AM CDT Fri May 20 2022

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

...Synopsis...
Surface high pressure will beco*e established over the
central/southern Plains through the day Saturday in the wake of the
surface cold front. Aloft, the departure of an embedded shortwave
disturbance will ease mid and upper-level wind speeds over the
southwestern CONUS. These factors will yield diminished fire weather
concerns co*pared to previous days for the Southwest and southern
High Plains where fuels are critically dry. Despite this, regional
fire weather concerns are expected for parts of central to southern
NM where pressure-gradient winds and dry conditions will maintain
fire weather concerns.

...Central to southern NM...
Modest moisture advection from Baja CA into AZ and cooler
post-frontal conditions across eastern NM will result in a pocket of
dry conditions across central/southern NM. RH values within this
region are forecast to fall into the 10-15% range by late afternoon
amid mostly clear skies. Despite the surface high over the southern
Plains, continued zonal flow over the central Rockies will support
modest lee troughing in the immediate lee of the terrain - mainly
over north-central NM based on hi-res and ensemble guidance. The
resulting pressure gradient over central to southern NM should
support sustained winds near 15 mph and at least elevated fire
weather conditions. Localized critical conditions are possible, but
mainly across the lower desert terrain where fuel loading is poor.

..Moore.. 05/20/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)