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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 AM CDT Tue May 10 2022

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST...

...Synopsis...
Surface-low intensification is expected around the Four Corners as
the upper trough ejects eastward and overspreads the Rockies
tomorrow/Wednesday. 15-25 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds
will coincide with 10-15 percent RH by afternoon as the boundary
layer mixes, promoting at least Elevated conditions for wildfire
spread across the Southwest. Critical highlights have also been
introduced where the strongest winds/lowest RH overlap for several
hours atop critically dry fuels Wednesday afternoon.

Dry northerly flow will continue across the Florida Peninsula
tomorrow as a surface low meanders off of the Atlantic Coast. Latest
guidance consensus shows RH dropping below 30 percent by afternoon
peak heating, with some guidance members showing surface winds
reaching 15 mph at times. Confidence is not quite high enough to
introduce Elevated highlights, given the lack of upper support to
force a stronger low-level wind field. If guidance continues to
depict more widespread 15 mph winds in later guidance, future
outlooks may include Elevated highlights for the western half of the
Florida Peninsula.

..Squitieri.. 05/10/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)