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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1131 AM CDT Fri May 06 2022

Valid 061630Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO MID-ATLANTIC...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the
Southeast to Ohio Valley and Tidewater region today. Damaging winds,
hail and a few tornadoes are possible into this evening.

...Southeast States/southern Appalachians to Mid-Atlantic States...
Initially, severe storms will remain possible especially across far
southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle along an earlier
outflow-related effective boundary. Surface-based severe
storm/tornado potential will also increase over time to the
north/northeast across more of Georgia and north Florida, as this
region steadily moistens/recovers in the wake of an early morning
squall line, and ahead of an eastward-moving cold front. For
additional short-term details, see Mesoscale Discussion 672. With a
further strengthening of mid/high-level winds in association with
the upstream vort/speed max, deep-layer/low-level shear will support
supercells and other organized storm modes capable of damaging
winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes.

A regional maximized severe-weather/tornado potential is also
expected to focus across northern North Carolina and southern
Virginia later today in vicinity of a northward-shifting warm front
and late-day development secondary surface low. This potentially
includes multiple rounds of storms in some areas, including
supercells and bowing segments with damaging winds and tornadoes in
addition to isolated large hail, mostly in association with rotating
storms.

..Guyer/Kerr.. 05/06/2022