SPC MD 612
SPC MD 612
[html]MD 0612 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0612
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0338 PM CDT Sun May 01 2022
Areas affected...Parts of southeast TX
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 012038Z - 012245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and locally strong gusts will be
possible across parts of southeast TX this afternoon. Watch issuance
will not be needed.
DISCUSSION...To the south of a northward lifting effective warm
front over southeast TX, a moist/well-mixed airmass characterized by
dewpoints in the lower 70s continues to spread northward. A subtle
E-W oriented differential mixing boundary associated with the
effective front has supported isolated convective development over
the last hour, and strong buoyancy (MLCAPE up to 2500 J/kg) should
continue to support this activity. RAP forecast soundings generally
show straight hodographs with effective bulk shear near 30 knots,
which will favor loosely organized splitting cells capable of
isolated large hail and perhaps locally strong gusts. Watch issuance
will not be needed owing to the localized nature of the threat.
..Weinman/Hart.. 05/01/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 30069453 30029490 29919583 29889623 29939669 30129681
30379685 30669683 30829663 30869609 30919562 30949526
30979462 30979424 30729392 30409385 30209408 30069453
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Source: SPC MD 612 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0612.html)
Topic: SPC MD 612 (Read 86 times)
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