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SPC MD 608

SPC MD 608

[html]MD 0608 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN AL INTO WESTERN GA
       
MD 0608 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0608
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0117 PM CDT Sun May 01 2022

Areas affected...parts of southern AL into western GA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 011817Z - 012045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few instances of large hail and locally strong gusts are
possible this afternoon. Watch issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar imagery shows a couple loosely
organized convective clusters spreading slowly eastward across parts
of southern AL into western GA. This activity appears to be focused
along an E-W oriented differential mixing boundary, which is evident
via a low-level lapse rate gradient per the latest mesoanalysis. As
continued diurnal destabilization of a moist (upper 60s dewpoints)
airmass continues beneath modestly steep midlevel lapse rates,
sporadic large hail and locally strong gusts will be possible with
any loosely organized convective clusters. VWP data from MXX depicts
modest deep-layer flow/shear (0-6 km bulk shear near 25-30 knots),
which should generally limit the overall threat, precluding the need
for a watch.

..Weinman/Hart.. 05/01/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON   31978765 32578724 32778620 32868536 32978485 33068449
            33148407 33158358 32748333 31958347 31498389 31308489
            31148658 31218727 31658765 31978765


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Source: SPC MD 608 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0608.html)