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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0246 PM CDT Tue Apr 26 2022

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

Expanded the Elevated area northeastward to include portions of the
central High Plains based on a forecast of 15 to 20 mph winds and
relative humidity of 15 to 25 percent. Additionally, dry
thunderstorms are expected with gusty outflow winds possible which
could also lead to greater fire-weather concerns. 

High-based thunderstorms are likely across portions of the central
and southern High Plains where moisture will be limited (PWAT around
0.5 to 0.6 inches). Very dry fuels remain in this region, and
therefore, new lightning starts are possible.

..Bentley.. 04/26/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT Tue Apr 26 2022/

...Synopsis...
A deamplifying shortwave trough and enhanced west-southwesterly flow
aloft will overspread the Southwest, encouraging the development of
a diffuse dryline over eastern NM.

...Southwest...
Above average temperatures across the Southwest (behind the dryline)
will favor deep boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced
west-southwesterly flow aloft. As a result, minimum RH will drop
into the single digits to lower/middle teens amid sustained
west-southwesterly surface winds of 15-20 mph. These conditions,
co*bined with modestly receptive fuels across the region will lead
to elevated fire-weather conditions across portions of eastern AZ
into western NM. Any localized critical conditions that develop
should be confined to terrain-favored areas -- precluding the
introduction of Critical highlights.

While enhanced fire-weather conditions may briefly develop over
parts of northern NM into southern CO (particularly the San Luis
Valley), the localized nature of these conditions coupled with light
rainfall casts uncertainty on the overall fire-weather threat.
Therefore, no highlights have been added here, though trends will be
monitored.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...