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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0154 AM CDT Thu Apr 14 2022

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

...Synopsis...
Largely zonal flow will continue across the western CONUS in the
wake of a de-amplifying mid-level low across the eastern US. Lee
troughing will gradually strengthen surface winds supporting
downslope flow from the central High Plains to southern NM. Dry
surface conditions and gusty winds will support Elevated fire
weather concerns for a few hours this afternoon.

...Southern High Plains...
Within the modified post-frontal airmass across the central US,
westerly flow will dominate the atmosphere in the absence of
stronger mid-level perturbations. Subtle lee troughing should
develop by mid morning, enhancing downslope flow across the
southern/central Plains. Very dry surface conditions are again
expected with RH values in the low single digits possible. Wind
fields will be relatively modest (less than 20 mph) owing to
relatively poor phasing of stronger flow aloft and the lack of
stronger surface troughing. However, the extremely dry conditions
and very dry fuels will likely still support widespread Elevated and
near-Critical conditions from eastern NM into portions of west TX. 

Farther north across the central High Plains, low-level wind fields
will be somewhat stronger beneath the zonal flow aloft. Winds of
15-25 mph may support brief Critical conditions within 15-20% RH and
dry fuels. However, confidence in sustained Critical conditions is
lower within the cooler airmass where a limited duration of Critical
wind/RH conditions are expected.

..Lyons.. 04/14/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...