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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0129 AM CDT Sat Jun 18 2022

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA INTO
EAST-CENTRAL UTAH...

...Synopsis...
As the upper-level trough slowly lifts northeast, continued strong
mid-level flow will exist across the eastern Great Basin on Sunday.
Within the Plains, the tough approaching will promote a surface
cyclone within the northern High Plains along with a strong lee
trough extending into the central High Plains.

...Arizona/Utah...
Elevated to critical fire weather is possible during the afternoon.
The greatest potential for critical fire weather will be where the
mid-level jet will be positioned during the afternoon. Strong
surface winds of 20-30 mph will be probable. RH could again reach
the single digits in some places, with most others seeing 15-20%.

...Central High Plains...
Conditions are likely to be windier on Sunday than previous days
given the deeper lee trough. However, continued moisture return
northward on Saturday evening/overnight will also co*plicate the RH
forecast. Even typically dry-biased models show borderline RH of
20-25%. There is even some potential for isolated thunderstorms to
move into the area off the higher terrain as well. Overall,
marginally elevated fire weather is expected.

..Wendt.. 06/18/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)