SPC Jun 17, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC Jun 17, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
[html]SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Thu Jun 16 2022
Valid 170100Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC AND FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are expected to continue this evening
across portions of the upper Ohio Valley and middle Atlantic.
Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms will develop after sunset from
the central Plains into the lower Missouri Valley. Hail and wind
remain the primary risks.
...01z Update...
Upper trough has progressed into the central Great Lakes early this
evening. This has suppressed the height field across the
northeastern US and deep-layer flow has veered into the
west-northwest. A few remnant thunderstorm clusters linger along the
southern influence of the trough from the upper OH Valley into
south-central PA and over parts of VA. Latest MRMS data suggests the
strongest storms are producing hail and gusty winds also remain
possible.
Farther south, well-organized MCS has propagated across all but
coastal SC this evening. Leading edge of this activity is just north
of CHS and should surge off the coast by around 02z.
LLJ is forecast to increase across the central High Plains after
sunset. 850mb southerly flow is currently noted from the TX
Panhandle into western KS. As the LLJ strengthens, warm advection
should contribute to a marked increase in convection along/north of
the frontal zone draped along the KS/NE border into northern MO.
SLGT Risk continues to reflect expected increase in nocturnal
thunderstorms.
..Darrow.. 06/17/2022
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Source: SPC Jun 17, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html)