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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0206 AM CDT Mon Jun 13 2022

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL-SOUTHERN ROCKIES...AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...Synopsis...
An amplified mid/upper-level trough and strong west-southwesterly
flow aloft will overspread the western CONUS, while a lee surface
low deepens over the northern/central High Plains. A weak cold front
will extend southwestward from the surface low into the southern
Great Basin, where another area of low pressure should develop.

...Critical Wind/RH...
An expansive area of critical fire-weather conditions is expected
from the southwest into the southern/central Rockies and adjacent
High Plains by the afternoon hours. Across these areas, mostly clear
skies will favor deep boundary-layer mixing and single digit to
lower/middle teens RH. As the pressure gradient tightens in response
the deepening surface lows, sustained southwesterly surface winds of
25-35 mph (with higher gusts) will develop from northern AZ into
southeast UT and southwest CO -- supporting locally extremely
critical conditions given highly receptive fuels.

Farther east, a swath of sustained southwesterly surface winds of
20-25 mph (with higher gusts) will overlap widespread 10-15 percent
RH from NM into southeastern CO and western KS/far southwest NE.
These conditions could extend even farther east than the current
Critical delineations, though fuels beco*e less receptive owing to
recent rainfall.

...Isolated Dry Thunderstorms...
Isolated to widely scattered high-based thunderstorms are expected
over NM (especially over the higher terrain). As these thunderstorms
overspread a hot/deeply-mixed boundary layer and critically dry
fuels, isolated lightning-induced ignitions will be possible.

..Weinman.. 06/13/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html)