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Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1233 PM CDT Wed Jun 08 2022

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and intense,
damaging gusts will be possible on Thursday/Thursday night across
portions of the central and southern Plains.

...Central and southern High Plains east toward the Ozarks...
Northwesterly flow aloft is progged across the Plains Thursday, on
the back side of a trough moving across eastern North America. 
Within the enhanced belt of west-northwesterlies, a weak short-wave
disturbance is forecast to move out of the Rockies, and
southeastward across the Plains.  

As a modestly moist airmass across the High Plains destabilizes
through the afternoon, expect isolated storms to initiate -- most
likely from north-central Nebraska south-southwestward into the
central and southern High Plains.  With time, CAMs generally
indicate upscale growth into one or more clusters of storms, aided
by development of a southerly low-level jet.  However, substantial
differences in location/evolution persist amongst various
convection-allowing models.  In general, degree of CAPE and strength
of flow aloft would support well-organized storms, and -- into the
evening/overnight -- the potential for locally strong/destructive
wind gusts.  Given spatial/temporal uncertainties though, will
maintain a rather broad SLGT risk area, but with local potential for
very strong gusts reflected within the probabilistic graphic.  

...Southern Atlantic and Gulf Coastal areas...
As a cold front sags southeastward across the southeastern quarter
of the country, ongoing early-day convection will likely diminish. 
As the moist pre-frontal airmass heats/destabilizes however,
re-initiation of scattered convection is expected in the vicinity of
the boundary.  Moderate deep-layer flow may permit some organization
locally, along with attendant risks for locally gusty/damaging winds
and possibly marginal hail.  A diurnal decrease in convective
coverage/intensity is expected to co*mence in tandem with diurnal
cooling into the evening hours.

..Goss.. 06/08/2022