SPC MD 1042
SPC MD 1042
[html]MD 1042 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF FAR NORTHEAST TX...SOUTHWEST AR...AND NORTHWEST LA
Mesoscale Discussion 1042
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0459 PM CDT Sun Jun 05 2022
Areas affected...Parts of far northeast TX...southwest AR...and
northwest LA
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 052159Z - 052330Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Locally damaging gusts and perhaps sporadic large hail
remain possible across the Arklatex as a remnant MCS continues
southeastward this afternoon. Watch issuance is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Ahead of a remnant MCS tracking southeastward across
parts of the Arklatex, temperatures in the upper 80s/lower 90s amid
middle/upper 60s dewpoints are contributing to strongly unstable
inflow and steep low-level lapse rates within the pre-convective
environment. While generally sub-severe wind gusts have been
observed with the convective line so far, localized surges in the
line could support marginally severe gusts and perhaps sporadic
large hail where deeper updrafts are sustained along the gust front.
Limited deep-layer flow/shear per regional VWP should generally
limit substantial convective organization and a higher-end severe
threat, and watch issuance is not expected this afternoon.
..Weinman/Hart.. 06/05/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 32979453 33119430 33569396 33709384 33779341 33609285
32969232 32309216 31869243 31659318 31639368 32069429
32399462 32729469 32979453
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Source: SPC MD 1042 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1042.html)
Topic: SPC MD 1042 (Read 54 times)
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