Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 AM CDT Sun Apr 10 2022

Valid 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT FROM
NORTHERN OK INTO MO...NEAR AND NORTH OF THE I-44 CORRIDOR...

...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are expected tonight near and north of
the I-44 corridor from northern Oklahoma into Missouri.  Large hail
and damaging winds will be the main threats.

...Northern OK into MO tonight...
A lead shortwave trough over WY this morning will progress
east-northeastward to the upper MS Valley, as an associated surface
cyclone likewise develops northeastward from southeastern NE to
western Lake Superior by 11/12z.  In the wake of this wave, a
surface cold front will move slowly southeastward across OK/MO
through Monday morning.  South of this front, a modifying boundary
layer with dew points in the low-mid 60s is returning northward from
the western Gulf of Mexico to south/southeast TX, and this moisture
will continue to spread northward toward central/eastern OK by this
evening.  The moistening will occur beneath a rather warm elevated
mixed layer per regional 12z soundings, with a substantial cap to
inhibit surface-based thunderstorm development today.

By late this evening into early tonight, the chances for
thunderstorm development will increase to the immediate cool side of
the front, generally near or north of I-44 in central/northeast OK. 
Low-level warm advection atop the frontal surface will provide
sufficient ascent to reach saturation and reduce convective
inhibition, with elevated thunderstorm development more probable
after about 02z.  Very steep midlevel lapse rates (> 8.5 C/km),
MUCAPE > 2000 J/kg, and effective bulk shear > 40 kt (some clockwise
hodograph curvature in low levels and speed shear aloft) appears
sufficient for supercells initially capable of producing large hail
and damaging winds.  The convection will subsequently spread
northeastward as clusters into MO through the overnight hours. 
There will be just enough low-level moistening/destabilization that
a tornado cannot be ruled out with convection moving along the
surface front.

..Thompson.. 04/10/2022