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SPC MD 1022

SPC MD 1022

[html]MD 1022 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE
       
MD 1022 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1022
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 PM CDT Fri Jun 03 2022

Areas affected...southeastern Wyoming southward across the Colorado
Front Range

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 031927Z - 032130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue developing across
the Front Range, spreading into the high Plains over the next few
hours.  WW may be required.

DISCUSSION...Satellite and radar loops reveal ongoing storm
initiation/growth across the Front Range, aided by weak low-level
upslope flow locally.  With a modestly moist boundary layer in place
(upper 40s to low 50s dewpoints), diurnal heating has led to
development of roughly 1000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE across the area.

With roughly 40 kt westerlies overlaying low-level flow exhibiting
varying degrees of easterly co*ponent, shear supports
organized/supercell storms.  Given associated/gradually increasing
potential for hail and locally damaging wind gusts, WW issuance may
be necessary within the next 1 to 2 hours.

..Goss/Guyer.. 06/03/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   41660589 41700516 40600358 39450338 38690321 38230383
            38160476 38460540 39910547 40420576 40810622 41310617
            41660589


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Source: SPC MD 1022 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1022.html)