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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 PM CDT Sun May 22 2022

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL
NEW ENGLAND INTO THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...AND OVER PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong thunderstorms are possible this evening over parts of
the northern Mid-Atlantic region and coastal New England. A strong
storm or two is also possible over the Southeast tonight into early
tomorrow morning.

...01Z Update...
Recent surface analysis places a cold front from north-central ME
southwestward through Upstate NY, continuing southwestward into the
Southeast to a weak surface low over southeast LA. An
outflow-dominant line of storms precedes this cold front from
eastern ME into the Mid-Atlantic. A few stronger storms are still
possible within this line, although the overall intensity will
continue to wane as the low-level air mass stabilizes.

Farther south, showers and thunderstorms will continue ahead the
front, which will beco*e more stationary with time. Another round of
showers and thunderstorms is possible from the central Gulf Coast
across AL and GA later tonight and into tomorrow morning as the weak
disturbance current just off the central Gulf Coast gradually moves
northeastward. Enhanced low to mid-level flow acco*panying this
system could help support a few stronger storms capable of damaging
wind gusts. A brief tornado is also possible in a relatively
confined region from the AL coast across the FL Panhandle.

..Mosier.. 05/23/2022