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SPC MD 844

SPC MD 844

[html]MD 0844 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 252... FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
       
MD 0844 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0844
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0252 PM CDT Fri May 20 2022

Areas affected...northern Lower Michigan

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252...

Valid 201952Z - 202145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252
continues.

SUMMARY...A tornadic supercell may persist as it travels
east/northeast toward Lake Huron.

DISCUSSION...The storm co*plex that crossed Lake MI has indeed
evolved into a supercell, which has beco*e tornadic as it
encountered the warmer surface-based air mass. This storm is
currently producing a tornado near Gaylord, MI.  The air mass
remains relatively warm for the duration of the expected storm track
over the next couple hours, and the 19Z APX sounding shows plenty of
low-level shear with 0-1 values around 280 m2/s2. This is higher
than objective analysis had earlier indicated. As such, the tornado
threat is expected to persist until the storm encounters the cooler
air near the lake.

..Jewell/Hart.. 05/20/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...APX...

LAT...LON   45208476 45458367 45348335 45128326 44998353 44998444
            45038473 45208476


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Source: SPC MD 844 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0844.html)