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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0122 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF WEST INTO NORTHWEST TX...

...Synopsis...
A weak upper-level trough will remain in place across much of the
western CONUS on Tuesday, as multiple embedded shortwave troughs
move from the central/southern Rockies into the High Plains. A
surface low is forecast to deepen across southeast CO, with a
dryline expected to extend southward across portions of west TX. 

...Parts of NM/west TX into the southern High Plains...
While the primary Pacific cold front/dryline may remain over west TX
during the afternoon, strong heating/mixing ahead of this feature
will result in the development of a secondary dryline further east
from southwest OK into central TX. The strongest low-level flow is
expected immediately to the west of this secondary dryline,
associated with a rather strong low-level jet. Areas from the TX
South Plains into the Big Country and Permian Basin may see
sustained winds of 20-25 mph as RH drops below 15%, resulting in
critical fire-weather conditions. Near-critical conditions may
extend into portions of southeast NM, though low-level flow is
currently expected to be somewhat weaker in this area.

In addition to the critical wind/RH threat, isolated high-based
thunderstorms will be possible across parts of the southern High
Plains during the late afternoon/evening, with very limited rainfall
potential, so an isolated dry-thunderstorm area has been included
for parts of this region.

..Dean.. 05/16/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...