Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0230 AM CDT Sun May 15 2022

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS...AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN
IOWA/NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI...

...SUMMARY...
Locally severe storms are expected across potions of the central
Plains/Missouri Valley Tuesday afternoon and evening.

...Central Plains/Mid Missouri Valley vicinity...
West-northwesterly flow aloft is progged across much of the U.S.
Tuesday, south of a trio of upper lows over Canada.  This westerly
flow will advect an elevated mixed layer across the central Plains,
with a cap effectively suppressing most convective potential south
of central Kansas.  

However, with afternoon heating/mixing, isolated storm development
will be possible over portions of northern Kansas and into Nebraska,
in the vicinity of a weak warm front.  Other storms are expected to
develop within low-level northeasterly upslope flow into the central
High Plains.  

With moderate westerly flow aloft, expect storms to organize
locally.  While weak low-level flow should limit tornado potential,
hail, along with potential for a few stronger wind gusts will exist.

After dark, as a low-level jet re-intensifies, storms should
increase in coverage, spreading east-southeastward into parts of
Iowa and Missouri.  Risk for hail and locally strong gusts may
continue into the overnight hours.

..Goss.. 05/15/2022