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SPC MD 756

SPC MD 756

[html]MD 0756 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN LOWER MI..EASTERN IN...WESTERN OH...FAR NORTHERN KY
       
MD 0756 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0756
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0107 PM CDT Sat May 14 2022

Areas affected...Eastern Lower MI..Eastern IN...Western OH...Far
Northern KY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 141807Z - 142030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few stronger storms capable of damaging wind gusts may
occur this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A similar thermodynamic environment covers the region
from eastern Lower MI southward into eastern IN/western OH, with
temperatures in the low/mid 80s and dewpoints in the upper 50s/low
60s. This air mass has destabilized amid diurnal heating, and
scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop as a
weak front approaches. Given the lack of stronger vertical shear, a
predominantly multicellular, outflow-dominant mode is anticipated.
Some forward-propagation along storm outflows may occur, but updraft
duration should remain limited. A few damaging wind gusts may occur
with any more robust updrafts, particularly if updraft augmentation
occurs as a result of storm mergers. Overall severe coverage is
expected to be limited.

..Mosier/Grams.. 05/14/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...APX...LMK...IWX...GRR...IND...

LAT...LON   44948475 45408410 45248353 44758332 44028354 43848336
            43958277 42628250 41958323 40978260 39028339 38848567
            39718659 42038498 42858478 43428485 44118489 44948475


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Source: SPC MD 756 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0756.html)