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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 PM CDT Mon May 02 2022

Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms will spread across eastern and southern
Oklahoma into western Arkansas later tonight. Damaging winds are the
primary threat, though large hail and perhaps a tornado or two are
also possible.

...01z Update...

Severe squall line has developed ahead of mid-level short-wave
trough and currently extends from northeast-central Oklahoma. This
activity developed within a favorable zone of higher instability
that evolved along the western fringe of early-day convection. 00z
sounding from OUN sampled the pre-squall line environment well with
SBCAPE on the order of 1300 J/kg with strong, veering wind fields
with height. While a few supercells evolved within this environment,
linear forcing has contributed to a mature squall line that is now
surging east-southeast. Several stronger bow-type structures are
noted along the squall line and damaging winds should be the primary
threat the rest of tonight. Even so, a few supercells remain
possible, along with some threat for large hail and perhaps a
tornado or two.

..Darrow.. 05/03/2022