Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2022

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

CORRECTED FOR SUMMARY

...SUMMARY...
A severe thunderstorm or two may develop late Thursday afternoon or
evening from northwest Texas into western Oklahoma and
western/central Kansas. Other isolated severe storms are possible
across western Nebraska later Thursday night. Large hail and strong
wind gusts will be the primary threats.

...Synopsis...
A weak midlevel shortwave trough over parts of KS/OK at the start of
the period will move quickly eastward during the day Thursday, as a
stronger midlevel shortwave moves across parts of the western CONUS.
In response to the western trough, a surface cyclone will begin
deepening over the central High Plains during the afternoon. 

...Western KS into western OK and northwest TX...
Upper 50s to low 60s F dewpoints will spread northward along/east of
the dryline by late afternoon, contributing to the development of
moderate to locally strong instability. Coverage of storm
development along the dryline remains uncertain, with large-scale
ascent expected to remain limited as the primary mid/upper-level
trough remains well to the west during the afternoon/evening.
However, isolated development is possible by late afternoon as
strong heating/mixing occurs along/west of the dryline and MLCINH
weakens along/east of the dryline. Southwesterly midlevel flow will
not be particularly strong, but should support sufficient deep-layer
shear for organized multicells and potentially a supercell or two,
with an attendant risk of large hail and locally severe wind gusts.

...Nebraska Panhandle vicinity...
Isolated high-based thunderstorm development cannot be ruled by late
afternoon or early evening across the NE Panhandle and adjacent
portions of far southeast WY. Any such development could pose a
localized severe wind and/or marginal hail risk. There is somewhat
greater confidence in the development of elevated convection across
this region later in the evening into the overnight hours, as a
southeasterly low-level jet continues to transport moisture into the
region beneath steep midlevel lapse rates, and large-scale ascent
increases in association with the approaching western trough.
Moderate MUCAPE and adequate effective shear will support a hail
risk with these nocturnal storms. Upscale growth into one or more
clusters will also be possible, which could pose an isolated severe
wind risk into the overnight hours.

..Dean.. 04/27/2022