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Topic: SPC Aug 31, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (Read 49 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Aug 31, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC Aug 31, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
     
Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1217 PM CDT Wed Aug 31 2022

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
The severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to be relatively low on
Thursday.

...Synopsis...
An upper ridge will persist over the West on Thursday, while an
upper trough may amplify slightly from the central/southern Great
Plains into the upper Great Lakes region. A seasonably deep upper
trough initially over New England will move northeastward away from
the region through the day.

In general, generally weak deep-layer flow/shear will tend to limit
the threat of organized convection through the period. Northerly
midlevel flow across parts of the central/southern High Plains may
support sufficient deep-layer shear for some modest storm
organization, but uncertainty remains high regarding the extent of
destabilization and coverage of storms in this area. Elsewhere,
high-based convection could produce locally gusty winds across parts
of the northern Plains and also across Arizona. Scattered to
numerous thunderstorms will be possible across parts of
central/north TX into southern OK, and also across parts of the
Southeast, but these storms are expected to remain relatively
disorganized.

..Dean.. 08/31/2022


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Source: SPC Aug 31, 2022 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730.html)