Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1239 AM CDT Sun Aug 28 2022

Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY INTO LOWER MI AND NORTHERN IN/OH...

...SUMMARY...
Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Monday from Lower
Michigan and northeast Ohio toward the Middle Mississippi Valley. A
risk for damaging gusts and hail will be possible with these storms.

...Mid-Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes Vicinity...

A mid/upper shortwave trough will shift east through the period from
the Northern Plains to the upper Great Lakes. A band of enhanced
west/southwesterly deep-layer flow associated with the trough will
overspread the region as far south as northern IL/IN/OH. At the
surface, a cold front is forecast to develop east/southeast through
the period. The front will extend from eastern MN/western WI
southwest toward northern KS Monday morning. The northern portion of
the front should progress eastward across WI/IA into lower MI and
northern IL. The southern portion of the front will only slowly sag
southward into northern MO and central KS during the period. 

Ahead of the front, surface dewpoints from the mid 60s to near 70 F
will be in place. This will aid in corridors of moderate to strong
destabilization. Where these corridors occur will partly depend on
morning convection across portions of the region. Nevertheless,
effective shear magnitudes around 25-35 kt should result in clusters
of organized storms capable of strong to locally damaging gusts.
Where vertical shear is more favorable, and midlevel lapse rates
steeper, the strongest cells also could produce marginally severe
hail. 

Strong storms could develop further west/southwest across MO/KS in
the vicinity of the front. However, vertical shear will be very weak
and large-scale forcing for ascent will remain focused
north/northeast of these areas, precluding low-end severe
probabilities at this time.

..Leitman.. 08/28/2022