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Mesoscale Discussion 1681
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0247 PM CDT Mon Aug 15 2022

Areas affected...northern SC...south-central and western NC

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 151947Z - 152045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered strong to locally severe
gusts are possible.  Marginally severe hail may occur with the
strongest cells.

DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows intensifying thunderstorms moving
east-southeastward over western NC and towards the greater Charlotte
area.  Other storms have recently developed over south-central NC. 
Surface conditions ahead of the storms have warmed into the upper
80s with near 70 deg F dewpoints over northern SC and adjacent parts
of southern NC.  The Charlotte TDWR VAD shows 35-45 kt
west-northwest flow in the 6-8 km layer.  Given the moderate
destabilization that has occurred and a wind profile supporting
storm organization (mainly clusters), it seems plausible one or more
corridors for strong to localized severe gusts will affect the NC/SC
border region through early evening.

..Smith/Thompson.. 08/15/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   35578195 35708098 35117977 34577950 34478045 34568150
            34948206 35578195