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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Mon Aug 15 2022

Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

...Synopsis...
Upper ridging should continue across the western CONUS as an
amplified northwesterly flow regime beco*es established across the
Plains states. Similar to Day 2, locally dry and breezy conditions
over dry fuel beds in terrain-favoring areas may occur by afternoon
peak heating from the Pacific Northwest into the northern Rockies.
However, guidance consensus shows a modest plume of monsoonal
moisture meandering northwestward towards the southern Cascades
through the day, with some of the latest high-resolution data
depicting sparse thunderstorm development by early evening. While
the storms will be relatively slow moving, the latest guidance also
suggests that these storms should be mainly dry. Overall confidence
in thunderstorm development is relatively low given scant buoyancy.
However, isolated dry thunderstorm highlights have been introduced
given how dry fuels are across far northeastern California and
immediate surrounding areas.

..Squitieri.. 08/15/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...