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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Sun Aug 14 2022

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Rich low-level moisture should remained confined along/south of a
front across the Southeast on Day 4/Wednesday. Thunderstorms should
occur across this region during the afternoon, but modest mid-level
flow on the southern extent of an upper trough should keep any
severe threat rather marginal/isolated. Upper ridging should
continue to dominate the western CONUS through late this week. A
shortwave trough may advance southward over portions of the northern
Plains and Upper Midwest on Day 5/Thursday, but both low-level
moisture and instability are forecast to remain limited across these
areas. The potential for organized severe thunderstorms from Day
6/Friday onward also appears generally low, with upper ridging
persisting over the western/central states, and upper troughing over
the eastern CONUS.