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Topic: SPC Aug 11, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 45 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Aug 11, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Aug 11, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0254 PM CDT Thu Aug 11 2022

Valid 112000Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF EASTERN WASHINGTON/OREGON AND WESTERN
IDAHO...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible over parts of the inland
Pacific Northwest.

...Discussion...
No appreciable change was made to the previous convective outlook.

..Smith.. 08/11/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1105 AM CDT Thu Aug 11 2022/

...WA/OR/ID...
Full sunshine and dewpoints in the 50s to lower 60s are present
today over much of the Pacific Northwest region, where afternoon
MLCAPE values will range from 500-1500 J/kg.  The persistent upper
low off the coast will continue to track northward today, with
moderately strong southerly deep-layer flow across the region.  This
will lead to a conditionally favorable environment for
severe/supercell thunderstorms.  Most CAM solutions suggest at least
isolated cells forming this afternoon and early evening over eastern
WA/OR and western ID.  Any persistent storm in this area will pose a
risk of damaging wind gusts and hail.  The threat should begin to
diminish after 03z.


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Source: SPC Aug 11, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_2000.html)