Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 PM CDT Sat Jul 30 2022

Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MINNESOTA/WESTERN WISCONSIN...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms will be possible across parts of Minnesota and
western Wisconsin Sunday afternoon and evening. Other more isolated
severe storms could also occur across parts of the Carolinas and
central Plains.

...Minnesota/western Wisconsin...
Have introduced a categorical Slight Risk for parts of the region. A
clipper-type shortwave trough will spread southeastward over the
region amidst amplifying westerlies over the Dakotas/Upper Midwest
through Sunday night. Scattered thunderstorm development seems
probable near a southeastward-moving front across Minnesota Sunday
afternoon. A favorable colocation of moderate buoyancy (2000+ J/kg
MLCAPE) and effective shear (40 kt) is expected particularly across
the southern half of Minnesota. This could support some initial
supercells, with storms likely to subsequently merge and potentially
grown upscale during the evening across southeast Minnesota toward
western Wisconsin. Large hail and damaging winds should be the
primary hazards.

...Nebraska/western Iowa...
The region will be influenced by the southern periphery of the
amplifying shortwave trough over the Dakotas/Upper Midwest.
Heating/convergence near the southeastward-moving front (and
pre-frontal trough) should be conducive for at least isolated
thunderstorm development Sunday late afternoon/early evening, some
of which could produce hail and/or severe-caliber wind gusts.

...Carolinas/southern Appalachians...
The persistent/convectively reinforced front across the region may
transition a bit northward into Sunday, with a moist airmass
remaining near the boundary and to its south. Although the details
of destabilization and preferred corridors of more appreciable
thunderstorm development are a bit uncertain, it currently appears
that destabilization will be regionally maximized across the
Carolinas. This should coincide with a modestly enhanced belt of
westerlies aloft. Some of the stronger updrafts/downdrafts could
produce wet microbursts capable of localized wind damage Sunday
afternoon through early evening.

...Southern Arizona/Lower Colorado River Valley...
The southern CONUS upper ridge should build a bit westward toward
the region on Sunday, with some potential for a further enhancement
to east-southeasterly mid-level winds particularly across southern
Arizona. Some questions exist regarding the lingering
influence/cloud cover of thunderstorms from later today and tonight
into Sunday. However, if confidence increases in boundary layer
recovery/destabilization, microburst-related severe wind
probabilities could be warranted in later outlooks.

..Guyer.. 07/30/2022