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Topic: SPC Dec 18, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (Read 14 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Dec 18, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC Dec 18, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

[html]SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
     
Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1257 PM CST Wed Dec 18 2024

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the Lower 48 on Friday.

...Synopsis...
A large-scale mid/upper-level trough will persist across much of the
central/eastern CONUS on Friday, as a significant embedded shortwave
moves from the Ohio Valley vicinity towards the Carolinas and
eventually offshore. A reinforcing cold front attendant to the
shortwave trough will move southward across the Gulf of Mexico and
Florida Peninsula. Dry/stable conditions and the influence of an
expansive post-frontal surface ridge should limit destabilization
and thunderstorm potential east of the Rockies.

Across the West, a mid/upper-level shortwave trough is forecast to
move across the Pacific Northwest early in the day and weaken with
time. In its wake, a stronger trough over the eastern Pacific will
begin to approach the OR/northern CA coast late Friday night.
Convection with sporadic lightning flashes may acco*pany this
stronger shortwave trough and approach near-coastal areas early
Saturday morning, but thunderstorm potential is currently expected
to remain largely offshore through the end of the period.

..Dean.. 12/18/2024


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Source: SPC Dec 18, 2024 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_1930.html)