Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0318 PM CST Sat Dec 07 2024

Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

...Days 3-5/Monday-Wednesday - Southern California...
Large-scale trough amplification is forecast over the western CONUS
early next week. At the same time, an upstream ridge over the
eastern Pacific strengthen. This pattern will result in
strengthening surface high pressure over the Intermountain West.
Offshore pressure gradients will tighten across southern CA (LAX-DAG
gradient peaking around -7 to -8.5 mb). This pattern will favor
critical fire-weather conditions across portions of Ventura and Los
Angeles Counties in southern CA, given increasingly dry/receptive
fuels. Confidence in the development of critical conditions is
highest on Day 4/Tuesday as the pressure gradient peaks, and
70-percent Critical probabilities have been maintained with this
outlook. The 40 percent region was expanded further southward to
account for trends in recent data suggesting more widespread
Elevated to Critical conditions. Areas of Extremely Critical
conditions may be possible Tuesday where single digits humidities
overlap stronger winds in favored downslope regions of the mountains
and foothills. Fire weather concerns may linger into Wednesday
morning before gradients begin to gradually weaken through the day.
Given the potential for a long period of Critical conditions prior,
a 40 percent delineation was added to cover the continuance of this
threat overnight Tuesday into the late morning Wednesday.

As the western trough ejects across the Plains D4/Tuesday into
D5/Wednesday, periods of dry/windy conditions are expected across
the High/Southern Plains, however, fuels do not appear supportive of
large-fire potential at this time. Additional precipitation will be
possible across portions of the Southern Plains which may also
contribute to less receptive fuels.

..Thornton.. 12/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...