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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0342 PM CST Fri Dec 06 2024

Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

...Days 4-5/Monday-Tuesday - Southern California...
Large-scale trough amplification is forecast over the western CONUS
early next week. This, in co*bination with a strengthening upstream
ridge over the eastern Pacific will result in strengthening surface
high pressure over the Intermountain West. Offshore pressure
gradients will tighten across southern CA (LAX-DAG gradient peaking
around -6 to -8 mb). This pattern will favor critical fire-weather
conditions across portions of Ventura and Los Angeles Counties in
southern CA, given increasingly dry/receptive fuels. Confidence in
the development of critical conditions is highest on Day 5/Tuesday
as the pressure gradient peaks, and 70-percent Critical
probabilities have been maintained during this time frame. The onset
of critical conditions is still uncertain, and higher probabilities
may eventually be needed for the Day 4/Monday overnight period.

Elsewhere, strong westerly surface winds and locally dry conditions
are expected in the vicinity of a deepening lee trough over the
southern High Plains on Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday. As the western
trough ejects, additional periods of dry/windy conditions are
expected across the High/Southern Plains, however, fuels do not
appear supportive of large-fire potential at this time. Additional
precipitation will be possible across portions of the Southern
Plains which may also contribute to less receptive fuels.

..Thornton.. 12/06/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...