Clearpost.online It's your post, so post it!

Mesoscale Discussion 1608
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 PM CDT Thu Jul 28 2022

Areas affected...Eastern NY and southern/western New England

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 505...

Valid 282008Z - 282145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 505
continues.

SUMMARY...Sporadic damaging wind and small hail potential continues
across the Hudson Valley and should spread across parts of
southern/western New England into early evening. The need for a
downstream watch is unclear.

DISCUSSION...While moderately topped convection has spread across
eastern NY, much of this activity has failed to support sustained
intensities near or at severe levels. Some recent uptick has
occurred into the Hudson Valley where surface temperatures from the
upper 80s and low 90s are co*mon into interior southwest New
England. It is plausible that convection will yet intensify, most
likely on a sporadic basis, as storms continue to spread east given
45-50 kt 0-6 km shear per the Albany VWP. Isolated damaging winds
and small hail should be the main hazards as convection spreads
across western New England. Given the poor mid-level lapse rates and
drier boundary layer sampled in the 18Z Gray, ME sounding,
convection should eventually weaken as it approaches NH/eastern
MA/western ME.

..Grams.. 07/28/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM...

LAT...LON   44117366 44357334 44227261 43847151 43477086 42997100
            42347142 41867216 41647291 41437351 41537442 41697497
            42007490 42897386 43377361 44117366