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Topic: SPC Nov 30, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (Read 14 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Nov 30, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Nov 30, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

[html]Day 4-8 Outlook
     
Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0356 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024

Valid 031200Z - 081200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A series of upper-level troughs will move across the northern
Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast U.S. during the Day 4-8 time
frame. Farther west, an upper low initially near the West Coast will
move slowly east across the southwest states/northern Mexico.
Low-level moisture will gradually increase from east TX eastward
across the central Gulf Coast Tuesday/D4-Thursday/D6, however latest
GEFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance reflects only weak instability
across this area and with large-scale lift remaining displaced well
to the north. Although some thunderstorm potential may ultimately
exist within this environment, the severe weather potential remains
low. Thereafter, very limited instability suggests continued low
severe potential through the remaining outlook period.


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Source: SPC Nov 30, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)