SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
[html]SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0347 PM CST Thu Nov 28 2024
Valid 301200Z - 061200Z
Fire-weather concerns through the extended forecast period are low.
Persistent broad troughing over the Eastern US will support strong
northwesterly flow into the center of the Continent. Ridging over
the West will beco*e quasi stationary, further bolstering the high
pressure and northwesterly flow over the CONUS. At the surface, high
pressure will be in place with a post-frontal air mass over the
central and eastern US. A second, stronger front will move through
the central and eastern US early next week. This will favor a much
colder air mass with widespread precipitation.
...Southern CA...
As high intensifies over the interior West, weak to moderate
offshore flow is possible across parts of southern CA. A strong
warming and drying trend will acco*pany the offshore flow,
potentially supporting some localized fire-weather concerns through
midweek next week. The lack of stronger offshore winds aloft should
keep overall winds below critical criteria, but some model guidance
does show an increase in offshore gradients late next week. Given
the increased drying, this could support some critical fire-weather
concerns. However, confidence is very low.
...FL...
Northerly flow is likely to develop across the FL Peninsula through
next week. This could support a much drier air mass as the front
scours remaining moisture. The most likely time for this is
following the second, stronger front, D5 Monday and early next week.
RH values could fall to near 30% with winds gusting to 15 mph.
However, some potential for precipitation could moderate fuels, and
uncertainty with regard to fire-weather concerns is high.
..Lyons.. 11/28/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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Source: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/)