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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0634 AM CST Sat Nov 16 2024

Valid 161300Z - 171200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Within large-scale upper troughing over the western CONUS, a
shortwave trough should move eastward across the northern Plains and
Canadian Prairie provinces through the period. A related surface low
over the northern Plains this morning will develop generally
northeastward into western Ontario by late tonight. Low-level
warm/moist advection will occur ahead of these features across parts
of the Upper Midwest through much of the period. While instability
is expected to remain rather muted, sufficient MUCAPE for elevated
convection may exist by late evening into the overnight hours across
this region. Overall lightning coverage will probably tend to be
rather isolated given the weak instability forecast.

..Gleason/Kerr.. 11/16/2024