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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

Valid 150100Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL
CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong to severe thunderstorms posing a risk for gusty winds
and perhaps a tornado could still occur across parts of coastal
North Carolina this tonight.

...01z Update...

Mid-level speed max digging across the southern Appalachians will
translate across the Carolinas tonight. This feature will induce
cyclogenesis along a coastal boundary, and the deepening low should
track northeast, just off the NC coast later this evening. Weak
convection is currently noted along the wind shift from southeast SC
into extreme southern NC. As the front sharpens, this activity may
continue to deepen and lightning is expected to develop as updrafts
penetrate colder temperatures. Earlier thoughts regarding a low risk
for severe continue. Strongly sheared environment remains conducive
for updraft organization, and there is some potential near-coastal
convection could briefly attain severe levels before moving
offshore. Even so, any severe threat will remain isolated.

..Darrow.. 11/15/2024