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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

The ongoing forecast for elevated fire-weather conditions tomorrow
(Friday) is still on track across portions of New England (see
previous discussion below).  The area was slightly expanded to the
north and south where meteorological conditions will be similar to
the rest of the area, and fuels are also abnormally dry (i.e., ERC
values exceeding the 90th percentile).

Over portions of eastern Arizona and western New Mexico, strong
south-southwesterly surface winds and low RH are likely during the
afternoon hours, but fuels will likely not be receptive for
large-fire spread (i.e., ERC values generally below the 60th
percentile).

..Jirak.. 11/14/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CST Thu Nov 14 2024/

...Synopsis...
...New England...
Post-frontal offshore flow will return across the New England coast
on Friday. Relative humidity reductions to around 30-40 percent will
be possible with northwesterly breezes around 10-15 mph. Given
drought conditions and very little recent rainfall, Elevated fire
weather concerns will be likely with fuels in the region remaining
receptive to fire spread. 

...Southern Arizona and Western New Mexico...
A deepening trough will bring increasing westerly flow aloft and
strong southwesterly surface winds across portions of Arizona and
New Mexico. Relative humidity reductions to around 10-15 percent
will overlap sustained winds around 15-20 mph. Portions of
southeastern Arizona and western New Mexico have seen less recent
rain/snowfall, with potential for some drying of fine fuels
possible. Overall, ERCs are largely at or below the 50th percentile.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...