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Topic: SPC Nov 9, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (Read 8 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Nov 9, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC Nov 9, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
     
Day 2 Outlook Image

Day 2 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1152 PM CST Fri Nov 08 2024

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night.

...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough and its attendant surface cyclone over the Upper
Midwest at 12Z Sunday will progress east, reaching the Ottawa Valley
by early morning Monday. A surface front, trailing southwestward,
will sink slowly southeast over the OH Valley to Mid-South and
remain quasi-stationary over the Ark-La-Tex. A confined low-level
warm/moist conveyor will support a threat for elevated thunderstorms
from the Mid-South to the OH Valley. Surface-based storms will be
possible southwestward to the western/central Gulf Coast. Poor lapse
rates, weak buoyancy, and diminishing vertical shear will preclude
severe storms.

Across south FL, as moisture increases within a southeasterly
low-level flow regime, isolated thunderstorms will be possible
Sunday night.

..Grams.. 11/09/2024


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Source: SPC Nov 9, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_0700.html)