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SPC MD 2209

SPC MD 2209

[html]MD 2209 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 704... FOR NORTHEAST TEXAS...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
       
MD 2209 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 2209
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0505 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024

Areas affected...northeast Texas...far southeast
Oklahoma...southwest Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 704...

Valid 042305Z - 050000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 704 continues.

SUMMARY...A tornado threat is likely to persist over northeast
Texas, far southeast Oklahoma, and southwest Arkansas this evening.

DISCUSSION...c*nvection within a confluence line beneath the 50 kt
low-level jet has gradually strengthened, with supercells now
evident. This zone remains in a favorable shear and instability
space, with 0-1 SRH over 250 m2/s2 and high surface theta-e values
ahead of the cold front. Surface observations also indicate winds
gusting over 25 kt, indicative of the coupled boundary layer and
expected full incorporation of available low-level shear. As such, a
new watch will be needed for parts of the region, with threat
persisting until the cold front pushes through.

..Jewell.. 11/04/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

LAT...LON   32269621 32539610 34389521 34509500 34489397 34239360
            33569379 32959397 32029476 32009564 32269621


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Source: SPC MD 2209 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2209.html)