SPC MD 2172
SPC MD 2172
[html]MD 2172 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 696... FOR EASTERN OK
Mesoscale Discussion 2172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0831 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024
Areas affected...eastern OK
Concerning...Tornado Watch 696...
Valid 310131Z - 310230Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 696 continues.
SUMMARY...A sustained supercell or two is possible as storms over
southeast Oklahoma potentially deepen while moving north-northeast.
An extension of WW 696 or a new WW may be needed.
DISCUSSION...Deepening warm-sector convection has increased across
southeast OK into far north TX. Environment here is conditionally
favorable for sustained supercell development with mid to upper 60s
surface dew points and effective SRH around 250-350 m2/s2. Both HRRR
and WoFS runs have largely been devoid of development here, but the
RRFS has suggested some potential for a supercell or two to beco*e
sustained as activity moves north-northeast across eastern OK. With
low-level forcing for ascent stronger to the north and west, it is
uncertain whether these cells will truly deepen and sustain
supercell structures.
..Grams/Hart.. 10/31/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 35919529 35679489 35319482 34799505 34359537 33779583
33799652 34529628 35449605 35869571 35919529
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Source: SPC MD 2172 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2172.html)
Topic: SPC MD 2172 (Read 10 times)
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