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SPC MD 2167

SPC MD 2167

[html]MD 2167 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 694...695... FOR CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK AND SOUTHEAST KS
       
MD 2167 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 2167
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0519 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024

Areas affected...central/northeast OK and southeast KS

Concerning...Tornado Watch 694...695...

Valid 302219Z - 302345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 694, 695 continues.

SUMMARY...Primary initial threat of severe wind gusts will likely
shift downstream of WW 694 in the next couple hours, necessitating
an additional WW. Overall tornado threat should increase through the
evening, especially across southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...Severe wind gusts and marginally severe hail have been
the reported hazards thus far, mainly across west-central to
north-central OK with the southern portion of the convective swath.
Convection has largely been undercut by the co*posite outflow/cold
front, curtailing the overall threat beyond severe wind thus far.
The north-central OK part of the band will likely spread east of WW
694 in the next couple hours, yielding a severe gust threat
spreading into northeast OK and southeast KS.

Area VWPs indicate low-level flow has remained nearly steady-state
over the past few hours, but is expected to increase during the next
couple hours through late evening. This will enlarge hodographs, in
addition to advecting richer low-level moisture from southeast OK
and western AR where surface dew points of 66-69 F are co*mon. These
processes should yield an increase in QLCS and embedded supercell
tornado threats toward 01-03Z.

..Grams/Hart.. 10/30/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   37609690 38029620 37859482 37129475 36669489 35819585
            35249697 35169773 35569841 36669738 37609690


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Source: SPC MD 2167 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2167.html)