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Topic: SPC Oct 30, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 12 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 30, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Oct 30, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2024

Valid 300100Z - 301200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm development may occur early Wednesday morning across
parts of the southern/central Plains into the Upper Mississippi
Valley.

...Synopsis...
A pronounced mid-level trough over the Rockies will continue to
progress eastward toward the Plains tonight. In advance of the
mid-level trough, broad surface lee troughing is taking place across
the central U.S., where an intense (50-60kt) low-level jet is
expected to develop, leading to ample northward low-level
warm-air/moisture advection through the remainder of the period.
Given the gradual approach of favorable upper-level support,
thunderstorm initiation has beco*e more questionable before 12Z.
Nonetheless, thunder probabilities have been maintained in the event
that thunderstorms can develop atop a moist boundary layer.
A couple of lightning flashes also cannot be ruled out over portions
of the TX Gulf Coast given onshore advection of rich low-level
moisture.

..Squitieri.. 10/30/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 30, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html)