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Topic: SPC Jul 25, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (Read 41 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Jul 25, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

SPC Jul 25, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

[html]Day 4-8 Outlook
     
Day 4-8 Outlook Image

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0358 AM CDT Mon Jul 25 2022

Valid 281200Z - 021200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Upper-level cyclone over Ontario Province will lift northeast on
Thursday/Day 4-Friday/Day 5, with broad troughing/weaker mid-level
flow remaining established from the northern Plains to New England
Saturday/Day 6 and beyond.  Upper-level high pressure will extend
from the Great Basin/Central Rockies to the Gulf Coast/FL.  A
slow-moving surface front will extend from New England southwest
across the OH/TN Valley region and central/southern Plains on
Thursday/Day 4 and Friday/Day 5. Although some severe-weather
potential will exist each day in the vicinity of the front,
confidence continues to be too low for a 15% daily delineation.
Thereafter, predictability remains too low given increasing spread
in model guidance.


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Source: SPC Jul 25, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/)