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Topic: SPC Jul 25, 2022 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (Read 79 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Jul 25, 2022 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC Jul 25, 2022 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

[html]SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
     
Day 3 Outlook Image

Day 3 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 AM CDT Mon Jul 25 2022

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC WEST TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI...AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds will be possible
from the mid-Atlantic coast to the Ohio Valley on Wednesday.
Isolated severe storms over the central Plains may produce severe
hail and damaging gusts.

...Mid-Atlantic to southern Missouri...
An east-west surface front will extend from the mid-Atlantic coast
west to near the KS-OK border Wednesday afternoon.  Ongoing morning
clouds/precipitation will influence subsequent differential
heating/destabilization in the vicinity of the front, however it
appears that pockets of moderate buoyancy will once again develop
during the afternoon.  The front resides along the southern extent
of stronger westerly mid-level flow (35-40 kts), and this will
support the potential for a few clusters of strong to severe storms
capable of primarily damaging winds.

...Central Plains...
Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible across the
central High Plains Wednesday afternoon in an environment with
effective shear 35-40 kts and MLCAPE approaching 1500 J/kg.  Initial
supercell structures may evolve into a southeast-moving cluster
during the evening with an attendant isolated severe hail and wind
threat.

..Bunting.. 07/25/2022


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Source: SPC Jul 25, 2022 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_0730.html)