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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0459 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

Valid 181200Z - 241200Z

...Day 3/Friday...
An amplified large-scale trough over the West will evolve into a
closed midlevel low over the Four Corners region. On the backside of
the trough, a belt of strong deep-layer northerly flow will
overspread CA, as the surface pressure gradient tightens. This will
result in strong northerly surface winds across portions of the
Sacramento/San Joaquin Valleys into the Bay area -- where a
relatively warm/dry air mass will be in place. As a result, elevated
to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther
south, the tightening offshore pressure gradient will also favor
strong/gusty north-northeasterly surface winds across portions of
southern CA. These winds will overlap low RH on for a few hours on
Day 3/Friday morning, yielding elevated to locally critical
conditions.

Ahead of the large-scale trough, breezy/gusty southerly surface
winds will persist across much of the Great Plains on Day 3/Friday.
While low-level moisture return and increasing RH cast uncertainty
on the overall fire-weather threat (with limited confidence in
critical conditions), elevated conditions cannot be ruled out along
the eastern edge of the returning moisture.

..Weinman.. 10/16/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...