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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1151 AM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

Valid 151700Z - 161200Z

The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, and only minor
adjustments were made based on the latest surface observations and
high-resolution guidance. In particular, the northern portion of the
Elevated area was trimmed slightly, where weaker winds are expected
co*pared to areas farther south. Over the TX Panhandle and Rolling
Plains, the co*bination of strong northeasterly surface winds and
20-25 percent RH will favor a couple hours of elevated conditions
into this evening, and the Elevated area was expanded to account for
this.

..Weinman.. 10/15/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0228 AM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024/

...Synopsis...
A strong mid-level trough will move south across the central Plains
and Midwest today. This will sharpen a surface cold front and
tighten the pressure gradient across the Plains as strong high
pressure builds into the Upper Midwest. Sustained winds around 25
mph are expected in the wake of this cold front from southern Kansas
into southwest Missouri, northwest Arkansas, across most of Oklahoma
and into northwest Texas. In addition, relative humidity is also
expected to be 15 to 25 percent. Fuels have cured across most of
this area, as 30 day precipitation deficits range from 2 to 6
inches. Therefore, an Elevated delineation is warranted.

Some breezy conditions are possible across the northern Plains this
afternoon on the western periphery of the anticyclone where fuels
are critically dry. However no Elevated area has been delineated, as
it appears the strongest winds will be in areas with 25 to 35
percent relative humidity.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...