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Topic: SPC Oct 12, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 13 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 12, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Oct 12, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1106 AM CDT Sat Oct 12 2024

Valid 121630Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely today and tonight.

...Great Lakes Region...
Another relatively quiet convective day is anticipated across the
CONUS, with most areas dry and stable.  One exception will be along
and north of a surface boundary extending across northern IN.  A
fast-moving shortwave trough currently over MI/WI will track along
this boundary, aiding in the development of late afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms - mainly over southern Lower MI.
Forecast soundings show steep mid-level lapse rates and strong winds
aloft, but very limited moisture and CAPE.  The strongest cells may
produce small hail and gusty winds, but current indications are that
severe thunderstorms are unlikely.

Other thunderstorms may affect portions of south FL and the Keys
this afternoon, but no severe storms are expected.

..Hart/Weinman.. 10/12/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 12, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html)