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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0455 PM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024

Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

Confidence in widespread fire-weather concerns over the CONUS
through the extended forecast period is low. A relatively stagnant
mid-level flow pattern is expected to continue through the next
several days. High pressure will continue to intensify and expand
eastward over the central CONUS through midweek, shunting stronger
westerly flow aloft northward. This should limit the overlap of dry
and windy conditions through midweek.

By D4/Thursday, the upper ridge will begin to weaken as stronger
westerly flow returns over the Northwest and Northern Rockies.
Troughing will approach the West Coast, supporting some increase in
surface winds across the West. Occasional gusty winds and pockets of
lower humidity could also develop in the northern Rockies/Plains as
a dry cold front moves across the western US. The increase in winds
may overlap with areas of dry fuels and continued warm/dry
conditions supporting some elevated fire-weather concerns. Low-end
fire-weather risk may continue into the weekend as the cold front
progresses, concurrent with the ridge reintensifying. This will
likely limit the overlap of strong winds within the dry/warm air
mass, supporting only modest potential for widespread critical
fire-weather conditions.

..Lyons.. 10/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...