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Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0212 PM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024

Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES
ONTO THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS...

The previous forecast remains on track as widespread elevated to
critical conditions are expected from eastern Montana, North Dakota,
and western Montana southward through much of Wyoming, Colorado, and
Kansas into northern New Mexico and the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles.
The Elevated and Critical areas were both expanded based on the
latest high-resolution forecast guidance. Of note, elevated and
critical fire weather conditions are likely to continue from Day
1/Friday night into Day 2/Saturday AM in portions of southeast
Wyoming, western Nebraska, and northeast Colorado, with
elevated/critical conditions beginning by late morning in the
vicinity of the Critical area. There remains uncertainty on the
northern/eastern borders of the Elevated area, and post-frontal
dry/breezy elevated conditions are possible in portions of the Great
Basin.

..Nauslar.. 10/04/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024/

...Synopsis...
A pronounced mid-level trough and associated surface lee trough will
progress over the Plains states and quickly eject into the Upper
Mississippi Valley tomorrow (Saturday). Strong southerly flow will
precede the surface lee trough, with a strong northwesterly surface
wind shift noted behind a cold front that is poised to sweep across
the northern Plains tomorrow afternoon. Widespread Elevated
highlights have been introduced where sustained surface winds should
exceed 15 mph amid 15-25 percent RH and very dry fuels. Critical
highlights are in place along the Colorado/Wyoming border into
portions of the Central Plains, where 25+ mph sustained
northwesterly surface winds and 15 percent RH is expected
immediately behind the cold front.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...