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Topic: SPC Oct 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (Read 17 times) previous topic - next topic

SPC Oct 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Oct 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

[html]SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
     
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1122 AM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024

Valid 041630Z - 051200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

...Synopsis...
A mid-level shortwave trough over the western Great Lakes will
continue to quickly move east through the afternoon and a lingering
thunderstorm cluster over west-central IL late this morning will
gradually diminish as this disturbance beco*es displaced. 

Farther south, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be
possible from parts of the Mid-Atlantic southwestward to the Gulf
Coast/Southeast.  Weak flow will limit storm intensity in these
regions.  A vigorous shortwave trough will move across the Pacific
Northwest and northern Rockies/Plains through tonight.  While
large-scale forcing and mid-level flow associated with the upper
trough passage will be strong, thunderstorm coverage is expected to
remain sparse due to a rather dry airmass present across these
areas.

..Smith/Lyons.. 10/04/2024


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Source: SPC Oct 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.html)